Tuesday, July 11, 2017

This can't be too inflationary!

Banks excess liquidity (plentiful) and inverted M2 velocity (weak),

Indicators show Banks are still shy lending and the monetary base multiplier the weakest in years, add to that depressed real disposable income + productivity  and contained inflation makes perfect sense despite massive liquidity infusion by central banks.
The financial assets vs real assets debate still on.
We need a turn around in these measures for bond bears to gain more momentum.
Central banks and regulatory environment finally taking a back seat is slowly starting the process to higher yields, let's watch consequences on banks and employers behaviors.



No comments:

Post a Comment